Wild Card Weekend Preview
- Jan 3, 2020
- 4 min read
Saturday January 4th:
Bills @ Texans 3:35 PM
Bills:
Record: 10-6
Division: AFC East Runner up
PPG: 19.6
PPG allowed: 16.2
Record against the spread: 9-5-2
Texans:
Record: 10-6
Division: AFC South Winner
PPG: 23.6
PPG Allowed: 24.1
Record against the spread: 7-8-1
The Bills and Texans will be meeting in the Wild Card round held in Houston. This should be a fairly close game but expect the Bills to narrowly pull out a win against a Texans team that has had both its ups and downs this year. When it comes down to it the Bills have had a knack for winning close games with stellar play from their defense and edgy play from Josh Allen. I believe the Bills will overcome playing on the road and will beat the Texans. This would knock them out of the playoffs in the first round for a second straight year. The best value and the obvious choice in this game is Bills ML, I love Josh Allen and the Bills mafia to move onto the divisional round.
Gambling Pick: BILLS ML +130
Burbs Fan Poll: Bills (54%)
Titans @ Patriots 7:15 PM
Titans:
Record: 9-7
Division: AFC South Runner Up
PPG: 25.1
PPG allowed: 20.7
Record against the spread: 8-7-1
Patriots:
Record: 12-4
Division: AFC East Winner
PPG: 26.1
PPG Allowed: 14.1
Record against the spread: 8-7-1
Everything in me is telling me to hammer Titans ML because of what Tannehill's been able to do with this team but I just simply can't get myself to bet against the Patriots at home in the playoffs. Yes over the last month the Patriots have begun to look vulnerable but if there's one thing the Patriots have taught us through the years is to never doubt them because more times than not they'll probably prove you wrong. My best advice I can give on this game is to take Pats ML in a parlay or tease whichever spread you feel more comfortable with, even though I think the Patriots will win I don't think it will be by a large margin. So you should be safe with taking the Patriots at + points or Titans to cover 10 or more points.
Gambling Pick: Gonna be honest I don't like a single line for this game so your best bet is to tease whichever spread you prefer or parlay the Pats ML or hell if you really wanna take Titans ML go for it, I respect the power move.
Burbs Fan Poll: Patriots (61%)
Sunday January 5th
Vikings @ Saints 12:05 PM
Vikings:
Record: 10-6
Division: NFC North Runner Up
PPG: 25.4
PPG allowed: 18.9
Record against the spread: 9-7
Saints:
Record: 13-3
Division: NFC South Winner
PPG: 28.6
PPG Allowed: 21.3
Record against the spread: 11-5 (League Best)
Could this be the year the Saints are able to win it all? Third times a charm right? Im not sure what's going to happen with the jam packed NFC playoffs but don't expect them to lose at home in the Wild Card Round. The Saints will come out firing on all cylinders after the last time these two teams met in the playoffs back in 2017. Don't get me wrong the Vikings are not a team to take lightly but unfortunately for them the Saints have too much to fight for after how they lost the past two years in the playoffs, I don't expect the Vikings to be playing with nearly as much motive. Money line has close to no value but I feel comfortable enough with the spread to take it. To be safe buy down to just under 7 points at either 6.5 or 6 to ensure the Saints cover by a touchdown.
Gambling Pick: SAINTS -6.5 @ -150
Burbs Fan Poll: Saints (81%)
Seahawks @ Eagles 3:40 PM
Seahawks:
Record: 11-5
Division: NFC West Runner Up
PPG: 25.3
PPG allowed: 24.9
Record against the spread: 7-8-1
Eagles:
Record: 9-7
Division: NFC East Winner
PPG: 24.1
PPG Allowed: 22.1
Record against the spread: 7-9
THIS IS MY DON'T OVERTHINK IT GAME OF THE WEEKEND. The Seahawks are simply just the better team here. What the Eagles have been able to do with close to no weapons on offense has been impressive up until this point, but I'm just not sure how far they'll be able to get with what they have right now. The Seahawks have not played great the past couple of weeks but this is where they'll look to get themselves back on track. Along with that, Russell Wilson also released a "Dangeruss" video on social media today that got me excited for the game this weekend. I'm expecting it to be a fairly close game but I still like the Seahawks to pull out a win and move into the Divisional round with a likely rematch against the 49ers. Im buying down a half point to ensure there isn't another incident with the Seahawks only winning by a point like they did when the line was -1.5 against the Rams earlier this year in week 5.
PS: The Seahawks already went into Philly and won 17-9 in earlier in the season
Gambling Pick: SEAHAWKS -1 @ -120
Burbs Fan Poll: Seahawks (76%)
Oh and for anyone that's made it this far:
WildCard Weekend Parlay:
- Bills ML. +130
- Saints ML. -425
- Seahawks -1.5. -110
Pays out at +448
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